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UEFA Euro 2024: Predictions For Knockout Rounds

Jon The Blogcentric2 Comments

The image above shows the flags of the sixteen nations still in the running. The whole point of those 36 games of group play is to reduce the field of 24 to the 16 most worthy of advancing. After that, each round is a knockout match to pare down the field to the two to square off for the Euro Cup. The group play was quite interesting. A hat trick wasn’t scored but a lot of brilliant goals. There were four 0-0 games. I hate 0-0 games! There were a lot of controversial referee calls. Also a lot of shockers from teams one wouldn’t consider a favorite but made it through. For all the teams, none of the teams had a case of losing all three games. One group was a case of only a single win and the rest draws to decide. Another group was a case all four teams had a win, a loss and a draw. It must have been tough to decide the finishing order, which they eventually did.

On Saturday the 29th starts the knockout rounds. After all that group play to narrow the 24 to 16, the upcoming Round Of 16 is just a single game for each team to narrow the field of 16 to 8. The layout for the Round of 16 doesn’t make the same clear sense as the Round of 16 in a 32-team World Cup, but this is how UEFA arranges it. I just hope the tournament ends up with the right two in the final. In the meantime, here are my predictions for each match. Matches are in chronological order and my prediction for the winner will be bolded:

ROUND OF 16

Switzerland (Group A 2nd.) vs. Italy (Group B 2nd.): Switzerland finished 2nd in Group A without a loss. It all started with a 3-1 win to Hungary, then 1-1 draws to both Scotland and Germany. Italy opened well against Albania 2-1, lost to Spain 1-0 thanks to an own-goal and drew 1-1 against Croatia in the stoppage time at the end. For this match, I predict Switzerland to win on penalty kicks. The last time Switzerland lost to Italy was 1993.

Germany (Group A 1st.) vs. Denmark (Group C 2nd.): Being the host nation, Germany knew they had to deliver, and deliver well! They did just that opening the Euro with a 5-1 win over Scotland and a 2-0 win over Hungary. Their qualification guaranteed, they could afford to draw 1-1 against Switzerland. Denmark had the good fortune of drawing all three games in their group: 1-1 draws to Slovenia and England and ending with a scoreless draw to Serbia. For this game, I predict Germany to win because they’ve been better at delivering this tournament and making wins happen.

England (Group C 1st.) vs. Slovakia (Group D/E/F 3rd.) Group C was the group where five of the six games were draws. England delivered the only win: 1-0 against Serbia. With their scoreless draw to Slovenia and 1-1 draw to Denmark, that was enough to make them top Group C. Slovakia was in a group that was just as tight. All four Group E teams had a win, a draw and a loss. Slovakia’s win was to Belgium 1-0, their loss to Ukraine 2-1, and their draw to Romania 1-1. For this game I predict England. England has never lost to Slovakia in the six times they played. A single draw at Euro 2016 but never lost.

Spain (Group B 1st.) vs. Georgia (Group D/E/F 3rd.): Spain had it’s win of Group B guaranteed after the second game! They opened 3-1 against Croatia and did 2-1 against Italy. Their 1-0 win over Albania just was a bonus for straight wins. Georgia went from the surprise of qualifying to the surprise of this tournament. They lost their opener to Turkey 3-1, came back to draw against Czechia 1-1 and then win to Portugal 2-0. For this match, I predict Spain. The two have met head-to-head seven times and Spain only lost to Georgia once. Spain won the rest of the times..

France (Group D 2nd.) vs. Belgium (Group E 2nd.): A classic match! France finished second in Group D starting with a 1-0 win over Austria, the only Group F team to beat Austria, a scoreless draw to the Netherlands and a 1-1 draw to Poland. Belgium started their Group E play with a surprise 1-0 loss to Slovakia, then came back with a 2-0 win to Romania and ended with a scoreless draw to Ukraine. For this, I think this will go to a draw with France winning on penalty kicks.

Portugal (Group F 1st.) vs. Slovenia (Group A/B/C 3rd.): Portugal not only clinched qualification after their first two games, but they also clinched first place in Group F in the process! A 2-1 win over Czechia and a 3-0 win over Turkey is all it took. They could afford to lose to Georgia 2-0 and still top Group F! Slovenia was straight draws with 1-1 to Denmark, 1-1 to Serbia and ended with scoreless against Denmark. Despite the same goal differentials as Denmark, their extra yellow card caused them to finish third in the group. Portugal look on target but I think the game will go to Slovenia. Why? In the one time they ever met, a friendly just three months ago, Slovenia won 2-0.

Romania (Group E 1st.) vs. The Netherlands (Group A/C/D 3rd.): Romania began Group E with a 3-0 win over Ukraine, then endured a 2-0 loss to Belgium and ended it with a 1-1 draw to Slovakia. The Netherlands also had their own win, loss and draw in Group D. They began with a 2-1 win over Poland, a scoreless draw to France and a surprise 3-2 loss to Austria. The two have met 13 times and Netherlands have won nine times. I predict Netherlands to win again.

Austria (Group D 1st.) vs. Turkey (Group F 2nd.): Nobody expected Austria to go too far at Euro 2024. Even their 1-0 to France thanks to an own-goal didn’t help. Then came their 3-1 win over Poland and their 3-2 win over the Netherlands en route to topping Group D. Maybe Austria is a stronger team than we thought! Turkey began Euro 2024 with a 3-1 win over Georgia, endured a 3-0 loss to Portugal and came back to a 2-1 win over Czechia. The last time Austria and Turkey met was three months ago and Austria won 6-1. I expect Austria to win again.

QUARTERFINALS

Why do I predict quarterfinals before I even know who the quarterfinalists are? Do you know how tiring writing is? Anyways as in past years, I plan to take a short break and not publish my next Euro blog until just before the semifinals. With that in mind, I’ll go as if my predictions for the Round of 16 matches actually came true. So here are my thoughts:

Spain vs. Germany – They frequently meet and the results alternate: 26 previous meetings; 8 Spain wins; 9 Germany wins; 9 draws. I think this will be a tight match leading into a penalty kick round which Germany will win.

Slovenia vs. France – They’ve met three times in the past and France has won each time. Even though their last previous meeting was over 20 years ago, I don’t think much has changed. I expect France to win again.

Netherlands vs. Austria – It’s possible two teams that clashed in the Group stage could meet again this soon. If they do meet again, I anticipate a draw game with Netherlands to win on penalties.

England vs. Switzerland – They’ve met 27 times before but England has won nineteen times. I’m not expecting much to change this time so I think it will be a win for England again.

And there you have it. Those are predictions for the Round of 16 matches and my ‘estimates’ for the quarterfinals. All we have to do is wait for the games to play to see who really wins. In the meantime, you’ll get my next blog where I predict the semifinals.

UEFA Euro 2024: Group C Focus

Jon The Blogcentric2 Comments

Group C has an interesting allotment of teams. First, there are two Balkan teams. Second, there are two teams that met in the semifinals at the last Euro. I mentioned that Group B is commonly scene as the “group of death” because of having three of the best teams in the World, but this group looks like a group where anything can go. It’s possible any of the teams can be ranked anywhere in the end. So with our further ado, here’s a look at the teams from Group C:

-Slovenia (57): One thing about the Balkan nations is that they know how to pull surprises. Slovenia is one such team that knows how to surprise. From the tiny Balkan/Alpine nation of just slightly over 2 million comes a team that was last at the Euro in 2000 and has played in two World Cups. It’s even won against some big names like Italy and Portugal. Among the teams they’re playing here, they’ve never won against England or Denmark but have beat Serbia once.

The team, which is one of only two teams at Euro 2024 that doesn’t have an official nickname, has been coached by Matjaz Kek since 2018. Kek played with the very first Slovenian national team. The players play for various teams in Europe and North America. Stars are Atletico Madrid goalkeeper Jan Oblak, midfielder Jasmin Kurtic and striker Josip Ilicic. Over the past year and a half, they’ve had wins to Northern Ireland, San Marino, Portugal and Armenia. They’ve had a draw to Bulgaria, a win and a loss to Finland, and a draw and a loss to Denmark. Euro 2024 is a new chance for Slovenia to prove itself. They could be the minnows that break through!

-Denmark (21): If there’s one team that’s unpredictable, it’s Denmark: the lone Nordic team to qualify for Euro 2024. De Rød-Hvide were the surprise winner of 1992. They also delivered shockers in Euro 2020. The first was after teammate Christian Erikson suffered cardiac arrest. The team played on and ended up in the semifinals. Some say it was because of Eriksen that they had the spirit to go that far. The team would go on to return to the World Cup in 2022.

Denmark has been coached by Kasper Hjulmand since August 2020. Star players include goalkeeper Kaspar Schmeichel, midfielder Eriksen and defender Simon Kjaer. In the last year and a half, they’ve won against Finland, San Marino, Sweden and Norway. They drew to Switzerland and had a win and a draw to Slovenia. They’ve also had a win and a loss to both Kazakhstan and Northern Ireland. It’s possible Germany can be the place for Denmark to prove its team one of the best in Europe. A surprise win again like in 1992? Never say never in football!

-Serbia (33): It seems as though the Orlovi struggle to relive the glory days of Yugoslavia where they finished fourth twice at the World Cup and finished runner-up in two Euros. Ever since Yugoslavia split up in the 1990’s, it first started as Serbia-Montenegro which was a single Euro in 2000 and a single World Cup in 2006. On its own, Serbia has successfully qualified for three World Cups in four attempts but has only now qualified for its first Euro out of five tries.

The team has been coached by Dragan Stojkovic for over three years. The players play for various clubs in Europe and Arabia with most players playing for Greek teams. Their stars include midfielder Dusan Tadic and forward Aleksandar Mitrovic. The team has had wins to Lithuania, Cyprus, Sweden and the United States. They’ve had draws to Bulgaria and losses to Hungary, Austria and Belgium. It’s quite possible Serbia can make their Euro debut a bang and go further than most predict!

-England (4): People have a love-hate relationship with the Three Lions. They always bring the finest combined football talent in the world onto their team, but they often can’t play as a team. You figure a team as talented as England would have won a plethora of awards! One thing in the last eight years is England sure has changed as a team as there has been more team unity in play. The World Cup saw them in the semifinals in 2018 and quarterfinals in 2022. At the last Euro, England made it to their first-ever championship final. They scored five minutes into the game, but it was downhill from there as Italy equalized and it led to penalty kicks where England, of course, lost.

Despite their biting losses, the team has played with the most team unity it’s had in decades. You can thank coach Gareth Southgate for that ever since he became coach in 2016. All members play for Premier League teams except two, including captain Harry Kane who plays for Bayern Munich. England brings a team full of top players but it also brings in a lot of young talent too. Since World Cup 2022, they’ve had wins against Italy, Scotland, Australia and Bosnia. They’ve had a win and a draw against both Ukraine and North Macedonia. They only had two loss since the World Cup and they were against Brazil and Iceland. Euro 2024 could be another chance for England to clinch its first-ever win.

My Predictions: It never fails. At the end of play, all four teams will have to be ranked. I believe the qualifiers from this group will be England and Denmark. Serbia will be in third, but I don’t think they will have enough points to qualify.

And there you go. That’s another look at a Euro 2024 group. This time Group C. Hard to believe I’m halfway done! Well it’s in good time as Euro starts in a week!