Monthly Archives: January, 2019

Screen Actors Guild Awards Will Hold Their 25th

220px-screen_actors_guild_award_trophy

The Actor: the award given out at the Screen Actors Guild Awards, or SAGs.

Normally I don’t post predictions or reviews about the Screen Actors Guild awards, but this is a milestone year for the Awards and they’ve proved their impact on the Oscar race over time.

SAGs And Their History In A Nutshell

One of the things about most of the categories in the Oscar race is that many of them have a corresponding society, union or guild to go with them. The Screen Actors Guild was founded in 1933. There’s no records of the SAG giving out any awards before 1995, even honorary awards, however there have been guilds and unions that have held their awards in the past and would also have an impact on the Oscar race. Below is a list of awards ceremonies from guilds, societies and unions that began before the SAG Awards. They’re listed by awards name, the Oscar category impacted in brackets, and the year the awards began:

  • Producers Guild Of America Awards (Best Picture, Best Animated Feature, Best Documentary) – 1990 (2005 for animated, 2007 for documentary)
  • Directors Guild of America Awards (Best Director) – 1948
  • Writers Guild of America Awards (Best Original and Adapted Screenplay) – 1949
  • Annie Awards (Best Animated Feature) – 1992
  • American Society of Cinematographers Awards (Best Cinematography) – 1986
  • American Cinema Editors ‘Eddie’ Awards (Best Film Editing) – 1962
  • Cinema Audio Society (Best Sound Mixing) – 1993
  • Motion Picture Sound Editors ‘Golden Reel’ Awards (Best Sound Editing) – 1989

Sure, there would be other guild awards that would come later for costuming, production design and visual effects, but the SAG Awards were already a long-time coming.

The nominees for the SAG awards are decided from a select group of 2000 of the film branch for the film awards and a select 2000 of the television branch for the television awards. For deciding the winners of the awards, all 140,000 members of the SAG-AFTRA union– even D-listers and the dime-a-dozen types– can vote for the winners!

The First SAGs

forrest gump

Tom Hanks’ performance in Forrest Gump won Best Actor at the very first SAG Awards.

The very first SAG awards were held in Universal Studios and broadcast on NBC. The statuette was called ‘the Actor’ and has been called that ever since. The first film awards honored the best acting and included a Lifetime Achievement Award. The very first went to George Burns. That was admirable because he’d die the following year at the age of 100.

The very first SAG awards would show that these awards would either have a huge impact on the upcoming Oscars or they’d be very similar in the tastes of the Academy. Three of the four individual winners in film– Tom Hanks, Dianne Wiest and Martin Landau– would go on to win the Oscar that year. Only Jodie Foster’s performance in Nell would be the only SAG win that would not win the Oscar. The SAG awards for the television awards however would not be as reflective as the Golden Globe winners or Emmy winners seven months later. In fact, they just have single-acting categories instead of separate categories for lead actors and supporting actors.

apollo 13

Apollo 13 was the first film whose ensemble won the SAG Award for Best Ensemble in a Motion Picture.

There was one unique thing about the SAG Awards categories. As you know, the Oscars have the Best Picture Award, the Emmies have their two Best Series awards, and the Golden Globes have both Best Picture awards for movies and Best Series awards for television. Since the awards are about the actors, the SAG Awards have Best Acting Ensemble awards. The first SAGs had two awards for the best television ensembles but no award for film ensembles. The first Best Ensemble award for film would come at the following SAG Awards, which went to the ensemble of Apollo 13.

Over the years, the SAG awards have become a who’s-who event for Hollywood’s big names to show up. They’re now broadcast on TNT and TBS. The Oscars will always have the most prestige and always be the status symbol of Hollywood, but the SAGs have grown in significance and also say a lot about how much an actor has achieved in their career. The SAGs have also been seen as the biggest forecaster for who will win the Oscar over time. In fact in the past ten years, 34 of the last 40 winners of the acting categories at the SAGs would go on to win the Oscar in that very category. That’s an 85% success rate. The SAGs almost matching the Oscars do however make for a boring Oscar race for predictors and ‘Oscar nerds’ like me who wager their predictions in contests. Also since the inception of the Ensemble Award for film, the Film winner for the Best Ensemble award would go to the ensemble of the Oscar-winner for Best Picture eleven out of 23 times. Only twice has the Oscar for Best Picture gone to a film whose ensemble was not nominated for the Best Ensemble award: Braveheart and The Shape Of Water. Also in 2007, the SAGs introduced a category for Best Stunt Ensemble. Even though there is a World Stunt Awards, the SAGs decided to give its own accolade.

Predictions For This Year

This is actually my first year predicting for the SAGs. I think I will only do so this year since it’s a milestone year. So here goes for the film categories:

Best Motion Picture Ensemble

Winner: A Star Is Born

Most Likely Upsetter: Black Panther

Best Actor

Winner: Christian Bale – Vice

Most Likely Upsetter: Bradley Cooper – A Star Is Born

Best Actress

Winner: Glenn Close – The Wife

Most Likely Upsetter: Lady Gaga – A Star Is Born

Best Supporting Actor

Winner: Mahershala Ali – Green Book

Most Likely Upsetter: Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Best Supporting Actress

Winner: Amy Adams – Vice

Most Likely Upsetter: Emma Stone – The Favourite

Best Stunt Ensemble

Winner: Avengers: Infinity War

Most Likely Upsetter: Black Panther

For television nominees, I will just predict the anticipated winner rather than add in a prediction for the upsetter:

Best Actor – Miniseries or TV Movie: Darren Criss – The Assassination of Versace: An American Crime Story

Best Actress – Miniseries or TV Movie: Patricia Arquette – Escape At Dannemora

Best Actor – Drama Series: Jason Bateman – Ozark

Best Actress – Drama Series: Sandra Oh – Killing Eve

Best Actor – Comedy Series: Bill Hader – Barry

Best Actress – Comedy Series: Rachel Brosnahan – The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel

Best Ensemble – Drama Series: The Americans

Best Ensemble – Comedy Series: The Kominsky Method

Best Stunt Ensemble – Television Series: Marvel’s Daredevil

And there you have it. My review of the SAG Awards and my predictions for this year’s awards. Tune in tomorrow to find out who wins!

 

 

 

 

My Predictions For The 2018 Academy Award Nominees

Chocolate Oscar

This has been an interesting year for the Academy. Last year’s Oscars suffered their lowest ratings ever and they were in a frustration. Hey, when they keep on giving Best Picture to movies with low grosses, they’ve got it coming. However nothing lasts forever.

This year looks like movies with good grosses have good chances. Yes, we do have the arthouse films and film fest films dominating, but this year looks good for popular fare too. So here are my predictions for the nominations of the 2018 Academy Awards:

BEST PICTURE

  • Black Panther
  • BlacKkKlansman
  • Bohemian Rhapsody
  • The Favourite
  • Green Book
  • If Beale Street Could Talk
  • A Quiet Place
  • A Star Is Born
  • Roma
  • Vice

BEST DIRECTOR

  • Bradley Cooper – A Star Is Born
  • Alfonso Cuaron – Roma
  • Peter Farrelly – Green Book
  • Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman
  • Adam McKay – Vice

BEST ACTOR

  • Christian Bale – Vice
  • Bradley Cooper – A Star Is Born
  • Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody
  • Viggo Mortenson – Green Book
  • John David Washington – BlacKkKlansman

BEST ACTRESS

  • Emily Blunt – Mary Poppins Returns
  • Glenn Close – The Wife
  • Olivia Colman – The Favourite
  • Lady Gaga – A Star Is Born
  • Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me?

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

  • Mahershala Ali – Green Book
  • Timothee Chalamet – Beautiful Boy
  • Adam Driver – BlacKkKlansman
  • Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
  • Sam Rockwell – Vice

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

  • Amy Adams – Vice
  • Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk
  • Margot Robbie – Mary, Queen Of Scots
  • Emma Stone – The Favourite
  • Rachel Weisz – The Favourite

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

  • Deborah Davis & Tony MacNamara – The Favourite
  • Paul Schrader – First Reformed
  • Brian Hayes Currie, Peter Farrelly & Nick Vallelonga – Green Book
  • Alfonso Cuaron – Roma
  • Adam McKay – Vice

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

  • Ryan Coogler & John Robert Cole – Black Planther
  • Charlie Wachtel. David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott & Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman
  • Nicole Holofcener & Jeff Whitty – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
  • Barry Jenkins – If Beale Street Could Talk
  • Eric Roth, Bradley Cooper & Bill Fetters – A Star Is Born

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

  • The Incredibles 2
  • Isle Of Dogs
  • Mirai
  • Ralph Breaks The Internet
  • SpiderMan: Into The Spider-Verse

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

  • Rachel Morrison – Black Panther
  • Robbie Ryan – The Favourite
  • Linus Sandgren – First Man
  • Alfonso Cuaron – Roma
  • Matthew Libatique – A Star Is Born

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

  • Alexandra Byrne – Mary Queen Of Scots
  • Ruth E. Carter – Black Panther
  • Julian Day – Bohemian Rhapsody
  • Sandy Powell – The Favourite
  • Sandy Powell – Mary Poppins Returns

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

  • Free Solo
  • Hale County This Morning, This Evening
  • RBG
  • Three Identical Strangers
  • Won’t You Be My Neighbor

BEST FILM EDITING

  • Alfonso Cuaron & Adam Gough – Roma
  • Tom Cross – First Man
  • Jay Cassidy – A Star Is Born
  • Hank Corwin – Vice
  • Yorgos Mavropsaridis – The Favourite

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

  • Burning – South Korea
  • Capernaum – Lebanon
  • Cold War – Poland
  • Roma – Mexico
  • Shoplifters – Japan

BEST HAIR AND MAKEUP

  • Black Panther
  • Mary Queen Of Scots
  • Vice

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

  • Nicholas Brittell – If Beale Street Could Talk
  • Alexandre Desplat – Isle Of Dogs
  • Ludwig Goranson – Black Panther
  • Justin Hurwitz – First Man
  • Marc Shaiman – Mary Poppins Returns

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

  • “All The Stars” – Black Panther
  • “Girl In The Movies” – Dumplin’
  • “I’ll Fight” – RBG
  • “Revelation” – Boy Erased
  • “Shallow” – A Star Is Born

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

  • Hannah Beachler – Black Panther
  • Nelson Coates – Crazy Rich Asians
  • Fiona Crowley – The Favourite
  • Nathan Crowley – First Man
  • John Myhre – Mary Poppins Returns

BEST SOUND MIXING

  • Black Panther
  • Bohemian Rhapsody
  • First Man
  • A Star Is Born
  • A Quiet Place

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

  • Avengers: Infinity War
  • Black Panther
  • Ready Player One
  • Mary Poppins Returns
  • Solo: A Star Wars Story

Those are my predictions for nominations. I also include predictions for possible upsetters for my main predictions. Not every category will include my picks for upsetters. Just for those in the case I feel they could get nominated instead of the favorites. Without further ado, here is my list for the most likely upsetters:

BEST PICTURE

  • Crazy Rich Asians
  • Mary Poppins Returns

BEST DIRECTOR

  • Yiorgos Lanthimos – The Favourite
  • Damien Chazelle – First Man

BEST ACTOR

  • Ethan Hawke – First Reformed
  • Willem Dafoe – At Eternity’s Gate

BEST ACTRESS

  • Elsie Fisher – Eighth Grade
  • Regina Hall – Support The Girls

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

  • Sam Elliott – A Star Is Born
  • Michael B. Jordan – Black Panther

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

  • Emily Blunt – A Quiet Place
  • Claire Foy – First Man

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

  • Bo Burnham – Eighth Grade
  • Bryan Woods, Scott Beck & John Krasinski – A Quiet Place

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

  • Josh Singer – First Man

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

  • Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch
  • Ruben Brandt, Collector

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

  • Lukasz Zal – Cold War
  • James Laxton – If Beale Street Could Talk

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

  • Erin Benach – A Star Is Born

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

  • Minding The Gap

BEST FILM EDITING

  • Barry Alexander Brown – BlacKkKlansman
  • John Ottman – Bohemian Rhapsody

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

  • The Guilty – Denmark
  • Never Look Away – Germany

BEST HAIR AND MAKEUP

  • The Favourite

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

  • Marco Beltrami – A Quiet Place

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

  • “The Place Where Lost Things Go” – Mary Poppins Returns
  • “Trip A Little Light Fantastic” – Mary Poppins Returns

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

  • Eugenio Caballero – Roma
  • Stuart Craig – Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes Of Grindenwald

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

  • Christopher Robin
  • First Man

And those are my predictions for the nominations of this year’s Academy Awards. The actual nominees will be revealed bright and early Tuesday morning. It’s the only reason to wake up that early on a Tuesday!

 

Golden Globes 2018: My Predictions

Golden Globe

This year’s Golden Globes will be hosted by Andy Samberg and Sandra Oh. I’ll admit it’s awfully late for me to post my Golden Globe predictions, but I have been lacking the drive this holiday season. A late-minute alerting made me get myself into action. To start things off, here are my predictions for both the winners and their respective most likely upsetters in the film categories:

FILM:

Best Motion Picture, Drama
Winner: 
A Star Is Born
Most Likely Upsetter: BlacKkKlansman

Best Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy
Winner:
 The Favourite
Most Likely Upsetter: Green Book

Best Actor in a Motion Picture, Drama
Winner:
 Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
Most Likely Upsetter: Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody

Best Actor in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy
Winner:
 Christian Bale, Vice
Most Likely Upsetter: Viggo Mortenson, Green Book

Best Actress in a Motion Picture, Drama
Winner:
 Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born
Most Likely Upsetter: Glenn Close, The Wife

Best Actress in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy
Winner:
 Olivia Colman, The Favourite
Most Likely Upsetter: Emily Blunt, Mary Poppins Returns

Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture
Winner:
 Mahershala Ali, Green Book
Most Likely Upsetter: Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture
Winner: 
Amy Adams, Vice
Most Likely Upsetter: Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk

Best Director
Winner: 
Alfonso Cuaron, Roma
Most Likely Upsetter: Peter Farrelly, Green Book

Best Screenplay, Motion Picture
Winner:
 Alfonso Cuaron, Roma
Most Likely Upsetter: Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie & Peter Farrelly & Vanessa Taylor, Green Book

Best Foreign-Language Film
Winner:
 Roma (Mexico)
Most Likely Upsetter: Shoplifters (Japan)

Best Animated Feature Film
Winner:
 SpiderMan: Into The Spiderverse
Most Likely Upsetter: The Incredibles 2

Best Original Song, Motion Picture
Winner:
 “Shallow”, A Star Is Born
Most Likely Upsetter: “All The Stars”, Black Panther

Best Original Score, Motion Picture
Winner:
 Marc Shaiman, Mary Poppins Returns
Most Likely Upsetter: Marco Beltrami, A Quiet Place

Those who know me well enough know I will predict the winners for the television categories but not predict the most likely upsetters. Especially since this year’s crop of nominees come mostly from new shows for this season. So my predictions for the winners:

TELEVISION:

Best TV Movie or Miniseries: American Crime Story: The Assassination Of Versace

Best TV Series, Drama: The Americans

Best TV Series, Comedy: The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel

Best Actor in a TV Series, Drama: Matthew Rhys, The Americans

Best Actor in a TV Series, Comedy: Bill Hader, Barry

Best Actress in a TV Series, Drama: Sandra Oh, Killing Eve

Best Actress in a TV Series, Comedy: Rachel Brosnahan, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel

Best Actor in a Miniseries or TV Movie: Darren Criss, American Crime Story: The Assassination Of Versace

Best Actress in a Miniseries or TV Movie: Regina King, Seven Seconds

Best Supporting Actor in a Series, Mini-Series or TV Movie: Henry Winkler, Barry

Best Supporting Actress in a Series, Miniseries, or TV Movie: Thandie Newton,  Westworld

And there you go. Those are my predictions for tonight’s Golden Globe awards. Winners to be revealed starting 8pm EST. That’s less than an hour!