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UEFA Euro 2024: Predictions For Knockout Rounds

Jon The Blogcentric2 Comments

The image above shows the flags of the sixteen nations still in the running. The whole point of those 36 games of group play is to reduce the field of 24 to the 16 most worthy of advancing. After that, each round is a knockout match to pare down the field to the two to square off for the Euro Cup. The group play was quite interesting. A hat trick wasn’t scored but a lot of brilliant goals. There were four 0-0 games. I hate 0-0 games! There were a lot of controversial referee calls. Also a lot of shockers from teams one wouldn’t consider a favorite but made it through. For all the teams, none of the teams had a case of losing all three games. One group was a case of only a single win and the rest draws to decide. Another group was a case all four teams had a win, a loss and a draw. It must have been tough to decide the finishing order, which they eventually did.

On Saturday the 29th starts the knockout rounds. After all that group play to narrow the 24 to 16, the upcoming Round Of 16 is just a single game for each team to narrow the field of 16 to 8. The layout for the Round of 16 doesn’t make the same clear sense as the Round of 16 in a 32-team World Cup, but this is how UEFA arranges it. I just hope the tournament ends up with the right two in the final. In the meantime, here are my predictions for each match. Matches are in chronological order and my prediction for the winner will be bolded:

ROUND OF 16

Switzerland (Group A 2nd.) vs. Italy (Group B 2nd.): Switzerland finished 2nd in Group A without a loss. It all started with a 3-1 win to Hungary, then 1-1 draws to both Scotland and Germany. Italy opened well against Albania 2-1, lost to Spain 1-0 thanks to an own-goal and drew 1-1 against Croatia in the stoppage time at the end. For this match, I predict Switzerland to win on penalty kicks. The last time Switzerland lost to Italy was 1993.

Germany (Group A 1st.) vs. Denmark (Group C 2nd.): Being the host nation, Germany knew they had to deliver, and deliver well! They did just that opening the Euro with a 5-1 win over Scotland and a 2-0 win over Hungary. Their qualification guaranteed, they could afford to draw 1-1 against Switzerland. Denmark had the good fortune of drawing all three games in their group: 1-1 draws to Slovenia and England and ending with a scoreless draw to Serbia. For this game, I predict Germany to win because they’ve been better at delivering this tournament and making wins happen.

England (Group C 1st.) vs. Slovakia (Group D/E/F 3rd.) Group C was the group where five of the six games were draws. England delivered the only win: 1-0 against Serbia. With their scoreless draw to Slovenia and 1-1 draw to Denmark, that was enough to make them top Group C. Slovakia was in a group that was just as tight. All four Group E teams had a win, a draw and a loss. Slovakia’s win was to Belgium 1-0, their loss to Ukraine 2-1, and their draw to Romania 1-1. For this game I predict England. England has never lost to Slovakia in the six times they played. A single draw at Euro 2016 but never lost.

Spain (Group B 1st.) vs. Georgia (Group D/E/F 3rd.): Spain had it’s win of Group B guaranteed after the second game! They opened 3-1 against Croatia and did 2-1 against Italy. Their 1-0 win over Albania just was a bonus for straight wins. Georgia went from the surprise of qualifying to the surprise of this tournament. They lost their opener to Turkey 3-1, came back to draw against Czechia 1-1 and then win to Portugal 2-0. For this match, I predict Spain. The two have met head-to-head seven times and Spain only lost to Georgia once. Spain won the rest of the times..

France (Group D 2nd.) vs. Belgium (Group E 2nd.): A classic match! France finished second in Group D starting with a 1-0 win over Austria, the only Group F team to beat Austria, a scoreless draw to the Netherlands and a 1-1 draw to Poland. Belgium started their Group E play with a surprise 1-0 loss to Slovakia, then came back with a 2-0 win to Romania and ended with a scoreless draw to Ukraine. For this, I think this will go to a draw with France winning on penalty kicks.

Portugal (Group F 1st.) vs. Slovenia (Group A/B/C 3rd.): Portugal not only clinched qualification after their first two games, but they also clinched first place in Group F in the process! A 2-1 win over Czechia and a 3-0 win over Turkey is all it took. They could afford to lose to Georgia 2-0 and still top Group F! Slovenia was straight draws with 1-1 to Denmark, 1-1 to Serbia and ended with scoreless against Denmark. Despite the same goal differentials as Denmark, their extra yellow card caused them to finish third in the group. Portugal look on target but I think the game will go to Slovenia. Why? In the one time they ever met, a friendly just three months ago, Slovenia won 2-0.

Romania (Group E 1st.) vs. The Netherlands (Group A/C/D 3rd.): Romania began Group E with a 3-0 win over Ukraine, then endured a 2-0 loss to Belgium and ended it with a 1-1 draw to Slovakia. The Netherlands also had their own win, loss and draw in Group D. They began with a 2-1 win over Poland, a scoreless draw to France and a surprise 3-2 loss to Austria. The two have met 13 times and Netherlands have won nine times. I predict Netherlands to win again.

Austria (Group D 1st.) vs. Turkey (Group F 2nd.): Nobody expected Austria to go too far at Euro 2024. Even their 1-0 to France thanks to an own-goal didn’t help. Then came their 3-1 win over Poland and their 3-2 win over the Netherlands en route to topping Group D. Maybe Austria is a stronger team than we thought! Turkey began Euro 2024 with a 3-1 win over Georgia, endured a 3-0 loss to Portugal and came back to a 2-1 win over Czechia. The last time Austria and Turkey met was three months ago and Austria won 6-1. I expect Austria to win again.

QUARTERFINALS

Why do I predict quarterfinals before I even know who the quarterfinalists are? Do you know how tiring writing is? Anyways as in past years, I plan to take a short break and not publish my next Euro blog until just before the semifinals. With that in mind, I’ll go as if my predictions for the Round of 16 matches actually came true. So here are my thoughts:

Spain vs. Germany – They frequently meet and the results alternate: 26 previous meetings; 8 Spain wins; 9 Germany wins; 9 draws. I think this will be a tight match leading into a penalty kick round which Germany will win.

Slovenia vs. France – They’ve met three times in the past and France has won each time. Even though their last previous meeting was over 20 years ago, I don’t think much has changed. I expect France to win again.

Netherlands vs. Austria – It’s possible two teams that clashed in the Group stage could meet again this soon. If they do meet again, I anticipate a draw game with Netherlands to win on penalties.

England vs. Switzerland – They’ve met 27 times before but England has won nineteen times. I’m not expecting much to change this time so I think it will be a win for England again.

And there you have it. Those are predictions for the Round of 16 matches and my ‘estimates’ for the quarterfinals. All we have to do is wait for the games to play to see who really wins. In the meantime, you’ll get my next blog where I predict the semifinals.

UEFA Euro 2024: Group D Focus

Jon The Blogcentric2 Comments

I’ll admit some of my talk outside the team talk in my last blog was pretty boring. For this blog, I will try something new. After my focus on the teams, I will give a focus on the ten venues that will be used to contest the games of this Euro. To save space and time, I will just talk about the venues with ‘fast facts.’

Anyways to start my blog off, here now is my look at the teams of Group D. Crazy thing is two teams in Group D played each other in the same qualifying group! Crazy that they meet again here! Who does these draws?:

– Poland (28): Poland is a team with a good reputation. The Orly or Biało-czerwon have finished third at two World Cups and weer Olympic champions in 1972. At Euro 2016, they made it to the quarterfinals for the first time. One of the problems with Poland is that the current team is big on talent but has a reputation of underperforming at big tournaments. They ended in the group stage at the last Euro and at the last two World Cups, they were out in group play in 2018 and out in the Round Of 16 in 2022.

Since World Cup 2022, the team has dropped Fernando Santos as coach and has gone back to a coach from their own nation: Michal Probierz. Robert Lewandowski, the most capped Polish player ever, is back, but Lewandowski can’t do it alone. The team has a lot of young talent 25 and under, but they also have some other established veterans like midfielders Kamil Grosicki and Piotr Zielinski and goalkeeper Wojciech Szczesny. In play since the World Cup, they’ve had wins to Germany, Ukraine, Estonia, Turkey and Latvia. They’ve had a win and a loss to Albania and two cases of a draw and a loss to Moldova and Czechia. Here in Germany, it’s a chance to write another chapter for the Polish team.

-Netherlands (7): The Oranje are considered to be the best team in the world to never have won a World Cup. At the Euro, they won in 1988 and have finished third four times. Since 2020, they’ve been underperforming. Euro 2020 saw them lose their Round of 16 match to Czechia 2-0, and after winning all three of their group play games! The last World Cup saw them lose to eventual champions Argentina on penalty kicks in the quarterfinals. Even losses in their recent play are quite telling.

Since the 2022 World Cup, they’ve dropped Louis Van Gaal as coach and are now back to being headed by Ronald Koeman who has played in two World Cups and was a key part of Oranje’s win of Euro 1988! The team’s stars include defender Daley Blind, midfielder Georginio Wijnaldum and forward Memphis Depay. Since World Cup 2022, they’ve had wins against Scotland, Greece, Canada and Ireland. They’ve also had losses to France, Croatia, Germany and Italy. Anything can happen at Euro. Germany offers the stage for a possible second win.

-Austria (25): There was a time The Burschen were one of the top teams in the world. They made the semifinals of World Cup 1934. World Cup 1954 saw them finish third. They last qualified for a World Cup in 1998. Austria only competed in their first Euro in 2008 when they hosted. Since then, they’ve worked to come back as a stronger team. At the last Euro, they made it to the Round of 16 for the first time ever.

Austria is coached by Germany’s Ralf Rangnick who was hired in April 2022. The team members mostly play in clubs with Germany’s Bundesliga or Austria’s own Bundesliga. Star players include goalkeeper Heinz Lindner, midfielder Marcel Sabitzer and forward Marko Amautovic, who is Austria’s most capped player. Since World Cup 2022 ended, they’ve had wins to Turkey, Slovakia, Sweden, Estonia and Serbia. They’ve also had a draw to Switzerland and a draw and a loss to Belgium. Anything can happen this month in June and Austria has the opportunity to prove themselves again.

-France (2): One thing about the lats ten years has been about the rebounding of Les Bleus. Sure, they’ve won the Euro before in 1984 and 2000, but their excitement these last ten years have ben remarkable. Finalists in Euro 2016 which they hosted, World Cup winners in 2018 and World Cup finalists in 2022. Their play in the final of the 2022 World Cup should be admired since many members were recovering from food poisoning.

The team is coached by Didier Deschamps, a former player for the 1998 World Cup winning team, who has coached since Euro 2012. His coaching has a lot to do with France regaining their form as the best in the world. Star players include defender Benjamin Pavard, midfielder N’Golo Kante and forwards Antoine Griezmann, Olivier Giroud and Kylian Mbappe. Since the World Cup final, they’ve had wins over Ireland, Scotland and the Netherlands. They’ve also endured a win and a draw to Greece, a draw to Canada, and losses to Germany. It’s very possible France could win their third Euro here in 2024. It’s all about the team being all together.

My Predictions: That’s often it. Four great teams, but they will have to be ranked in the end. I think the qualifiers here will be France and The Netherlands with Poland being the wildcard qualifier.

VENUES OF EURO 2024

It should be no surprise that Germany should have the venues to host a twenty-four nation major football tournament on its own. A nation who Bundesliga could be a challenge to the Premier League can do it. Germany has ten venues. They range in age from a few years old to 101 years old! Of course some of the older venues have had renovations, even one completely demolished to rebuild, but they still stand strong. Four are in the North Rhine-Westphalia region (with very little travel time between them), one is in the former East Germany and one hosted an Olympic Games. For this Euro, all of them will have group play games and at least one knockout match as well. For most of them, their Euro capacity is smaller than their respective team’s game capacity because standing areas are not allowed in the Euro.

This focus here is a brief focus. My focus is only giving a brief telling of the venues and its main facts like which city, year first completed, capacity and tenant team. I’ll be starting with venues that will only go as far as the Round Of 16 progressing to venues playing additional knockout matches to the Grand Venue which is to hold the final for the cup:

Venues Up To Round Of 16

  • Cologne Stadium: City – Cologne (Koln)
    Year Opened: 1923
    Euro Capacity: 46,922
    Current Tenant: Viktoria Koln
  • Leipzig Stadium: City – Leipzig
    Year Opened: 2004
    Euro Capacity: 46,635
    Current Tenant: RB Leipzig
  • Frankfurt Arena: City – Frankfurt
    Year Opened: 1925
    Euro Capacity: 48,057
    Current Tenant: Eintracht Frankfurt
  • Arena AufSchalke: City – Gelsenkirchen
    Year Opened: 2001
    Euro Capacity: 49,471
    Current Tenant: FC Schalke 04

Venues For Further Matches

  • Dusseldorf Arena: City – Dusseldorf
    Year Opened: 2004
    Euro Capacity: 46,264
    Current Tenant: Fortuna Dusseldorf
  • Volksparkstadion: City – Hamburg
    Year Opened: 1953
    Euro Capacity: 50,215
    Current Tenant: Hamburger SV
  • Stuttgart Arena: City – Stuttgart
    Year Opened: 1933
    Euro Capacity: 50,998
    Current Tenant: V1B Stuttgart
  • Westfalenstadion: City – Dortmund
    Year Opened: 1974
    Euro Capacity: 61,524
    Current Tenant: Borussia Dortmund
  • Fussball Arena Munchen: City – Munich (Munchen)
    Year Opened: 2005
    Euro Capacity: 66,026
    Current Tenant: Bayern Munich

GRAND VENUE

  • Olympiastadion Berlin: City – Berlin
    Year Opened: 1936
    Capacity: 70,023
    Current Tenant: Hertha BSC

And there you go. This is my look at the teams of Group D as well as a look at the ten venues for Germany 2024. Only two more groups left to review.

WORK CITED:

WIKIPEDIA: UEFA Euro 2024. Wikipedia.com. 2024. Wikimedia Foundation Inc. <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UEFA_Euro_2024>